U.S. Census Bureau
- Source date:
- 2023 (released 2025-06-26)
- Retrieved:
- 2026-07-10
- Evidence:
- 204,617 total employer establishments.
Explore Kona
Planning connected to evidence and action.
Scheduling and patient-flow software for independent physician practices.
Fictional public demonstration. ClinicFlow Demo is not a real company. Public facts are cited; all company inputs and projections are illustrative unless a source is named.
01 · Source-backed market research
U.S. Census Bureau
U.S. Census Bureau
02 · TAM / SAM / SOM
TAM
$734,165,796
204,617 sourced establishments × $299 illustrative monthly subscription × 12
SAM
$88,099,752
24,554 assumed reachable establishments (12% of TAM units) × $299 × 12
SOM
$2,691,000
750 assumed obtainable customers × $299 × 12
Pricing, adoption, reach, and obtainable-customer counts are illustrative demo assumptions, not market facts.
03 · Assumptions ledger
| Assumption | Value | Scenario | Source | Owner | Confidence | Status | Affected artifacts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. physician-office establishments | 204,617 establishments | all | census-physician-establishments | Research | high | verified-source | market-research, market-sizing, pitch-deck |
| Monthly subscription price | 299 USD/customer/month | all | Illustrative demo assumption | Founder | low | illustrative-demo | market-sizing, financial-model, gtm-plan, pitch-deck |
| Base gross margin | 0.82 ratio | base | Illustrative demo assumption | Finance | low | illustrative-demo | financial-model, board-update |
| Opening cash | 1,800,000 USD | all | Illustrative demo assumption | Finance | low | illustrative-demo | financial-model, board-update |
04 · Deterministic financial scenarios
| Year | Revenue | COGS | Gross profit | OpEx | EBITDA | Taxes | Operating cash | Ending cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $700,000 | $168,000 | $532,000 | $1,450,000 | -$918,000 | $0 | -$918,000 | $882,000 |
| 2 | $945,000 | $226,800 | $718,200 | $1,566,000 | -$847,800 | $0 | -$847,800 | $34,200 |
| 3 | $1,275,750 | $306,180 | $969,570 | $1,691,280 | -$721,710 | $0 | -$721,710 | -$687,510 |
| Year | Revenue | COGS | Gross profit | OpEx | EBITDA | Taxes | Operating cash | Ending cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1,200,000 | $216,000 | $984,000 | $1,450,000 | -$466,000 | $0 | -$466,000 | $1,334,000 |
| 2 | $1,980,000 | $356,400 | $1,623,600 | $1,711,000 | -$87,400 | $0 | -$87,400 | $1,246,600 |
| 3 | $3,267,000 | $588,060 | $2,678,940 | $2,018,980 | $659,960 | $138,592 | $521,368 | $1,767,968 |
| Year | Revenue | COGS | Gross profit | OpEx | EBITDA | Taxes | Operating cash | Ending cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1,650,000 | $247,500 | $1,402,500 | $1,600,000 | -$197,500 | $0 | -$197,500 | $1,602,500 |
| 2 | $3,135,000 | $470,250 | $2,664,750 | $2,048,000 | $616,750 | $129,518 | $487,232 | $2,089,732 |
| 3 | $5,956,500 | $893,475 | $5,063,025 | $2,621,440 | $2,441,585 | $512,733 | $1,928,852 | $4,018,584 |
05 · GTM plan
Validate
Gate: Five pilots with verified before/after data
Wedge
Gate: 15 qualified opportunities per month
Scale
Gate: CAC payback and retention: Needs input
06 · Pitch deck
01
Fictional company and decision being tested
02
Problem and evidence needed from pilots
03
Product promise and boundaries
04
Sourced units plus explicit TAM/SAM/SOM assumptions
05
Initial specialty and buyer
06
Pilot, partner, and direct channels
07
$299 illustrative monthly subscription
08
Downside, base, and upside model
09
Unverified retention, CAC, and implementation effort
10
Milestones required before scaling
07 · Board / investor update
Warnings and unresolved inputs