Finance & analysis
AI scenario analysis
A scenario workbook showing which input changes alter contribution, cash, or another stated decision metric.
For owners comparing a decision under uncertain conditions.
What you can request
A scenario workbook showing which input changes alter contribution, cash, or another stated decision metric.
Start with the required details, then add files and authorized context in Workspace. Review progress, revise the result, and export the supported format that fits your task. Your account’s existing usage limits apply.
- Scenarios are conditional calculations, not predictions or confidence intervals.
How to use scenario analysis
Name the decision and the base assumptions. Choose a small set of drivers with a meaningful effect on the outcome.
Create downside/base/upside cases by changing explicit inputs. Explain why the combinations are plausible and do not label them as statistical probabilities without evidence.
Compare the decision threshold across cases and identify the assumption you most need to verify.
What to check before using the result
Volume is an illustrative input, not a probability-weighted forecast.
- Cases use the same calculation method.
- Changed drivers are visible.
- A downside case includes realistic constraints.
Inspect a worked example
Prepared fictional example · not a live AI run or customer story
Starting information
- Decision and base assumptions
- Compare monthly contribution for a service priced at USD 100 with USD 40 variable cost per visit
- Variables to change in downside/base/upside cases
- Downside 30 visits; base 40; upside 50
- Currency
- USD
- Capacity, funding, or timing constraints
- Maximum capacity 50 visits; fixed costs excluded
Prepared output excerpt
- Contribution per visit: USD 60.
- Downside: USD 1,800/month.
- Base: USD 2,400/month.
- Upside: USD 3,000/month, at stated capacity.
Volume is an illustrative input, not a probability-weighted forecast.
Questions about this workflow
How are scenario probabilities chosen?
This workflow does not invent probabilities. Provide a supported basis if you need a probability-weighted analysis.
Can I change the decision metric?
Yes. State whether the relevant outcome is cash, contribution, staffing capacity, payback, or another measurable threshold.
Sources and scope
Methods and product boundaries reviewed 2026-10-11. The example is a prepared fixture; it is not proof of a live provider run.
- Kona capabilities and current limits · Kona Business
- Plan your business · U.S. Small Business Administration
Learn the method
Check a basic scenario model before using the forecast — Trace driver cells, formulas, scenario changes, and cash balances in an editable XLSX. Use a worked service-business model and check its exclusions.